๐Ÿ“Š NCRS Scoring (60 points = 100%)
1. Tipping Threshold (1-10)
How close to critical mass? Higher score = lower threshold = easier to tip.
2. Conformity Trap Risk (1-10)
Social pressure maintaining status quo? Higher score = lower conformity pressure.
3. Benefit Visibility (1-10)
Can people easily see benefits of change? Higher score = more visible benefits.
4. Penalty Reduction (1-10)
Are costs/risks of advocacy decreasing? Higher score = lower penalties.
5. Broad Angle Potential (1-10)
Can movement appeal across constituencies? Higher score = broader appeal.
6. Leader Persistence (1-10)
Are leaders sustained and protected? Higher score = more durable leadership.
Min NCRS%:0%
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SURVEILLANCEMonitor

Tracking US Surveillance Technology โ€” Past, Present & Future

A comprehensive research dashboard monitoring the evolution, deployment, and resistance to surveillance technology across the United States. From post-9/11 mass surveillance programs to AI-powered predictive policing and facial recognition โ€” and the movements fighting back.

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Active Threats

Current surveillance deployments, pending legislation, and emerging technologies being rolled out across the US.

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Case History

100+ documented cases with full timelines, ecosystem maps, and sources. Filter by status, category, or region.

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Ecosystem

Organizations, funders, and key actors in the surveillance and privacy rights landscape.

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Methodology

How we score and track surveillance technology cases using the Norm Change Readiness Score framework.


How It Works

The six dimensions of norm change readiness

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Tipping Threshold

How entrenched is the current norm? Low threshold = easier to tip. Research shows ~35% active participation triggers cascading change.

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Conformity Trap Risk

Is majority support hidden due to social cost? When people fear speaking up, true preferences stay invisible.

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Benefit Visibility

How obvious are the gains from change? Visible success stories accelerate adoption and reduce perceived risk.

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Penalty Reduction

Has the cost of dissent been reduced? When speaking up becomes safer, participation scales rapidly.

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Broad-Angle Potential

Can this issue appeal across demographics? Movements with cross-cutting frames build winning coalitions.

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Leader Persistence

Is there a vanguard absorbing early costs? Sustained leadership infrastructure makes movements resilient.


Navigate

Four ways to explore

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Upcoming Movements

Emerging issues and intervention windows. What's building momentum right now and when to act.

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Past Movements

100+ documented movements with full timelines, ecosystem maps, slogans, and sources. Filter by status, category, or pattern.

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Ecosystem

The organizations, funders, celebrities, and governments behind every movement. Click any entity to see all connected movements.

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Scoring

Full methodology behind the NCRS framework and how each dimension is scored.


Pro tip: Open any movement, then use โ† โ†’ to navigate between cases, โ†‘ โ†“ to scroll, Esc to close.

A living, community-driven database

MOVEMENTMonitor is a dynamic research project that grows with your input. Every movement profile is built from public sources โ€” and some details may be incomplete, outdated, or missing entirely. If you spot something wrong or know something we don't, we want to hear from you.

Flag a wrong source, add a missing organization, or share a relevant link.

๐Ÿšจ Active Surveillance Threats

Current deployments, pending legislation, and emerging surveillance technologies across the US

๐Ÿ”ฌ Emerging Trends & Research Signals

New movement threads gaining momentum โ€” earlier-stage but worth tracking now.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Active Intervention Windows โ€” 2025โ€“2028

Key global events that could catalyze movement tipping points. Click any event for strategic detail.

๐ŸŽฏ Current High-Priority Candidates โ€” 2025โ€“2026

Movements with the strongest conditions for a near-term tipping point. Click any card for full analysis.

๐Ÿ‘ฅ Key Actors โ€” Multi-Issue Targets

Corporations and institutions that appear as obstacles across multiple active movements.

โณ Still Active โ€” Unresolved Historical Cases

Cases from the historical record where the movement is ongoing โ€” not yet resolved. These feed directly into future tipping points.

๐Ÿ“š Historical Pattern Matching

Current movements mapped to historical analogues โ€” what happened next?

๐Ÿ“Š The NCRS Scoring Methodology

The Norm Change Readiness Score (NCRS) is a framework for assessing when social movements are ready to achieve lasting change โ€” and identifying optimal intervention windows.

Scoring System: 60 Points = 100%

Each movement is scored across 6 dimensions, with each dimension rated 1-10. The total (max 60) is displayed as a percentage for easy comparison. Higher scores = closer to or past tipping point.

๐ŸŽฏ
Tipping Threshold
1-10 scale
Low threshold = easier to tip = higher score
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Conformity Trap Risk
1-10 scale
Low risk = higher score
๐Ÿ‘๏ธ
Benefit Visibility
1-10 scale
High visibility = higher score
โš–๏ธ
Penalty Reduction
1-10 scale
Strong reduction = higher score
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Broad Angle Potential
1-10 scale
High appeal = higher score
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Leader Persistence
1-10 scale
Strong persistence = higher score

How Scores Are Calculated

  • Total Points: Sum of all 6 dimensions (max 60)
  • Percentage: (Total / 60) ร— 100
  • Example: A movement scoring 8+7+6+8+7+9 = 45 points = 75%

Interpreting Percentages

  • 80-100%: ๐Ÿš€ ACT NOW โ€” Critical intervention window open
  • 60-79%: ๐ŸŽฏ PREPARE โ€” Building momentum, conditions favorable
  • 40-59%: ๐Ÿ‘๏ธ WATCH โ€” Early stage, monitor for triggers
  • 0-39%: ๐Ÿ’ค DORMANT โ€” Conditions not yet favorable

The Six Dimensions Explained

Research into successful norm changes consistently surfaces six dimensions. Movements rarely succeed without strength in at least four. When all six are present, intervention windows open for coordinated action.

1
Tipping Threshold
2
Conformity Trap Risk
3
Benefit Visibility
4
Penalty Reduction
5
Broad Angle Potential
6
Leader Persistence

Dimension Definitions

  • Tipping Threshold (1-10): Proximity to critical mass. The 3.5% rule suggests sustained nonviolent campaigns need this threshold of active participants. Low threshold (easy to tip) scores higher.
  • Conformity Trap Risk (1-10): Strength of social pressure maintaining status quo. Inverted scoring โ€” lower risk = higher readiness.
  • Benefit Visibility (1-10): How easily can people see the benefits of change? Are success stories visible and compelling?
  • Penalty Reduction (1-10): Are the costs of advocacy decreasing? Social, economic, and legal risks for participants.
  • Broad Angle Potential (1-10): Can the movement appeal across constituencies? Is framing inclusive enough for coalition building?
  • Leader Persistence (1-10): Are movement leaders sustained, protected, and able to continue despite opposition?

Outcome Scoring

  • 5 โ€“ Full Change: Durable policy/institutional change achieved and maintained
  • 4 โ€“ Major Win: Significant policy wins but vulnerable to reversal or incomplete
  • 3 โ€“ Cultural Shift: Permanent change in public consciousness, discourse, or norms
  • 2 โ€“ Partial Win: Some concessions extracted but core grievance unaddressed
  • 1 โ€“ Awareness Only: Public attention generated without structural change
  • 0 โ€“ Suppressed: Movement crushed with no lasting impact

Key Insight

The trigger doesn't create the conditions โ€” the conditions determine when the trigger ignites. Build conditions relentlessly; be ready to amplify when the trigger comes.

Data Sources

This dashboard synthesizes research from academic literature on social movements (Chenoweth, Tarrow, McAdam), historical case analysis, and real-time tracking of active campaigns. 154 cases spanning 1977-2026 across all continents.

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